Experts Spot Kremlin Intimidation Operation Against Tomahawk Use

Moscow is implementing a “reflexive control” campaign of intimidations to prevent the United States from delivering long-range missiles to Ukraine, according to defense experts. An influential legislator declared: “We know these weapons very well, their flight patterns, how to shoot them down, we tested against them in the Syrian conflict, so there is nothing new. Those delivering them and those who use them will have problems … We will develop strategies to damage those who oppose our interests.”

Ukrainian Defensive Operations Developments

Ukraine's military were imposing substantial damage in a counteroffensive in the Donetsk front, the war's main theatre, the Ukrainian president reported on midweek. The Ukrainian president's account, following a briefing from his top commander, contradicted the Russian president's address to high-ranking military personnel a prior day in which he claimed the invading army possessed the strategic initiative in all frontline sectors.

In an assessment covering the beginning of October, military analysts said Russia was experiencing substantial casualties, particularly from unmanned aerial vehicle assaults, in return for small operational progress. Defending units, the president stated, were “defending ourselves along all other directions”, referring specifically to Kupiansk, a largely destroyed town in north-eastern Ukraine under sustained offensive operations for several months.

Regional Conditions

Local authorities in southern Ukraine of southern Kherson said Russian attacks on Wednesday resulted in three fatalities in and around the city of Kherson city. Administrative officials of the Sumy oblast, on the northern frontier with the Russian Federation, said three people died in unmanned aerial strikes in different districts. Ukraine's air force said it neutralized or disrupted most of the offensive unmanned aircraft overnight into Wednesday.

An offensive strike significantly harmed a Ukrainian energy facility, officials reported on midweek. Two employees were wounded in the assault, according to energy company officials. They provided limited details, regarding the facility's position, but government officials said strikes hit critical utilities in Ukraine's northern Chernihiv, the Kherson area and the Dnipropetrovsk area.

Civilian Consequences

In the north-eastern Sumy town of the Shostka area, severely affected by the Russian onslaught against the energy infrastructure, authorities have created emergency spaces where people can find shelter, access hot drinks, power electronic devices and access mental health services, based on information from local official.

Global Response

Ukraine's ambassador to the military alliance on Wednesday called on European allies to increase acquisitions of US weapons for Kyiv. “It's not that we prioritize US equipment instead of French or German or other international equipment – the issue is that we are asking the America for weapons which EU members can't provide,” said Ukraine's NATO envoy.

German federal police will shortly receive authorization to intercept unmanned aerial vehicles, government official announced on Wednesday, following multiple unmanned aircraft incidents believed to be Moscow's attempts to spy and intimidate. Announcing legal changes, the official said security forces could legally “to employ sophisticated countermeasures against UAV risks, including EMP technology, jamming, satellite signal blocking, but also with kinetic methods”.

EU Defense Concerns

European leader declared on midweek that Europe must ramp up its protective capabilities to deter Russia's “hybrid warfare” after air incursions, digital assaults and submarine infrastructure disruption. “These aren't isolated incidents. This represents a coherent and escalating campaign,” the official said in a presentation to the European parliament. “A couple of events are random chance, but three, five, ten – this constitutes a deliberate and targeted grey zone campaign against the European Union, and Europe must respond.”

Refugee Conditions

The Swiss government has continued its refugee protection granted to people fleeing Ukraine to at least 4 March 2027. Protection status S, which permits refugees to leave the country as well as work in Switzerland, is normally capped at a single year but can be continued. “The decision demonstrates the ongoing dangerous conditions and ongoing military actions across significant Ukrainian territory,” said a official communication. “Notwithstanding worldwide negotiation attempts, a lasting stabilisation that would enable safe return is not projected in the medium term.”

Kristina Hall
Kristina Hall

Award-winning journalist with a focus on urban affairs and community stories in Southern California.